Blogging The Casbah: If Iraq has oil, then Afghanistan has...

Wednesday, December 30, 2009

If Iraq has oil, then Afghanistan has...

A question this Casbah

So you’re a Middle East guy [of course now meaning Afghanistan too] what does Afghanistan have? I mean, why did Obama send more troops to a place with what? Rugs?


(Aynak, Afghanistan. The site of the copper reserve.)

While I don't profess to know "this answer," for surely Obama for himself has gave his own answer, I can point in a interesting direction: this New York Times article. For the question above assumes that Afghanistan, like Iraq, has some massive reserve of resources that we, as Americans, want for ourselves. I don't particularly buy this now popularized argument-- for example Saddam sold to anyone with cash. Yet, the idea that we invaded Iraq for oil--and oil alone--still exists within many Arabs and American liberals alike.

If we must, however, answer the question--"what Afghanistan has"--then surely it is copper. And the Chinese are developing it.

You can read the article for yourself, but this caught my eye:


“The Chinese are much wiser. When we went to talk to the local people, they wore civilian clothing, and they were very friendly,” he said recently during a long chat in his Kabul apartment. “The Americans — not as good. When they come there, they have their uniforms, their rifles and such, and they are not as friendly.”

"...Instead, China’s foreign policy is based on commerce. Its state-owned companies have been snapping up energy and mineral resources worldwide for years now, often by overwhelming competitors with lavish offers."


Call me crazy, but it sounds like the Chinese are vastly outbidding other countries and in the long run, saving both money and troops by not trying to micro-manage statecraft; they leave it to locals. In a way, the Sons of Iraq program, later called the Awakening Councils, was an American version of this idea. (America paid off former Sunni insurgents in Iraq to battle al-Qaeda and keep their own security.)

I suppose this brings us back to the heavy vs. light footprint paradigm. And to this Casbah , it seems like the Chinese have got themselves into a situation where America and NATO are in charge of Afghan security, while they profit from the copper.

2 comments:

The Rooster said...

Yea, estimates are that China paid around $800 million in all to acquire the Aynak copper deposit 30 miles south of Kabul two years ago. Now they are the favourite bidder from a pool of Indian and Saudi firms set to gain control of an iron ore deposit at Hajigak, 60 miles west of Kabul, when tenders are considered next year.

Both deposits rank among the world's largest and plans to develop them include the construction of roads, processing plants and railways in deprived areas that are currently dominated by the Taliban.

China’s state-owned companies are also likely to pursue Afghanistan’s untapped oil, gas, and iron resources. Yes, despite what nasayers say, they have those resources too (Just not in the vast amounts as other neighboring countries).

Yet Chinese troops are not on the ground fighting for security or stability. What a sweet deal for them.

Abu Guerrilla said...

indeed