First off, the day's of the Hezbollah 1985 letter stating "we are only about resistance and will never point our arms at fellow Lebanese" are over. Remember what happened last May? The pro-Cedar government in Beirut, later deemed March 14, decided to crack down on the Hezbollah telecommunications company. Then, without warning, Hezbollah took over West Beirut! Click here to read what I had to say about. (And thank you Santa Barbara Independent for publishing my rant.)
It's now clear that Hezzy has broken this element of trust among the Lebanese; what about the rest of the Middle East? Remember Muqtada al-Sadr's Mahdi Army? Yup, members of the Mahdi Army trained in the Lebanese Beeka valley. AND, now with this whole scandal in Egypt a month ago, the Arabian Sheikh's are starting to talk...
So what's the deal? Either Hezbollah is about defending the Shia Lebanese and fighting Israel IN LEBANON, or they are about getting into the business of regional arms trafficking and training. If the latter, this would technically brand Hezbollah as a "regional group" and thus, more justifiable for Israel--and perhaps established Arab states like Egypt--to "return the favor" via force.
(This is a picture of a blown bridge in northern Lebanon right after the 2006 War. But wait, isn't Hezbollah mostly in the south? "Oh my child, let me tell you about a little something called 'collective punishment' vis-a-vis the civilian population..." Get the point?)In conclusion, it is this Guerrilla's opinion that Hezbollah better shape up. Egyptian Lieutenant General Omar Suleiman who is head of he national intelligence agency, is not about to let a bunch of towel-head, bearded, upstart Shia clerics get a hold in his established Egyptian state. No way Jose. Even if Hezbollah says "but it's for the resistance and smuggling arms to the downtrodden people of Gaza"-- please, it will likely backfire and cause other established Arab states (Jordan) to become increasingly wise. So tell your boys to take it easy Hassan Nasrallah! (Hmm... Think he follows this blog?)
And now for something completely different: Did anyone read the Haaretz article: "Iran's missiles are not an existential threat"? Keep in mind, those Persian Shahab's are really just SCUD's with new paint. --Hasta.