If Nusrallah said it was a "gift from God," then call me an atheist

Thats right--it is the one-year anniversary of the assassination of Imad Mughniyeh. (And today is the four-year anniversary of the assassination of Rafik al-Hariri.) What does this mean? Well, I'd keep an eye out for some kind of retaliation by Hezbollah. This is why I'm recommending Nicholas Blandford's piece in the CSM today. He reminds us that:

"Hezbollah long ago recognized the value of deterrence. A month after Israel killed Hezbollah leader Sheikh Abbas Mussawi in February 1992, a suicide bomber blew up the Israeli Embassy in Buenos Aires, killing 29 people. While Hezbollah denied responsibility, Israel refrained from assassinating top Hezbollah figures for the next 16 years."

So yeah, Hezbollah needs to respond in order to reestablish its deterrence. But since it is a sub-state actor, among other things, how exactly remains a mystery.

PS-- Question to the readership: Do you think that a Likud led government will adopt preemption with Hezbollah?